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Prediction Market Home
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Latest Market
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| Leading Prediction | Probability |
None of the Above | 26% |
| Agree/Disagree? Trade and win if you’re right: |  |
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Most Active Markets | Prediction | Probability | Trades | |
Newest Markets | Prediction | Probability | Trades | |
Over the next two years, IBM clients who purchase the following tool/service/offering will be most successful improving their collaboration.
| Lotus Connections | 46% | 567 |
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In 2010, the winning strategy to bridge the gap between consumers' stated intent to purchase more environmentally and socially responsible products and services and their actually doing so will be:
| Improved quality / functionality of green and socially responsible products and services compared with their "non-green" counterparts | 29% | 234 |
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On June 1, 2009, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index(TM) will be:
| Between 40 and 50 | 33% | 89 |
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"Jams" as practiced by IBM will be most successful over the next two years when used by a company or group of companies for:
| Strategy development and planning | 38% | 445 |
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The size of the potential market for universal trust certification over the next 3 years will be:
| > $10 billion | 35% | 105 |
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The FHFA Monthly index of house prices will first rise 1% or more
| During the second half of 2009 | 30% | 120 |
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On January 20, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrials Index will be:
| Below 10,000 | 67% | 406 |
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In 2010, the world should be focused on avoiding which major crisis?
| None of the Above | 26% | 704 |
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Over the next six months, the best investment for mid-market companies in the current economy will be:
| None of the above | 50% | 231 |
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Over the next six months, the best investment for a large enterprise in the current economy will be:
| Risk Management analysis tools | 39% | 347 |
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In 2009, a Fortune 50 company will face a major crisis as its brand suffers and its stock price falls more than 10% because of:
| Insufficient transparency and traceability | 36% | 119 |
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In 2010, the most important Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) issue for companies operating globally will be:
| Water management and renewable energy | 37% | 193 |
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Over the next two years, the potential consulting offering with the most substantial business opportunity for IBM (both as a consulting practice and as a means to deepen IBM-client relationships) will be:
| Customer as a Service | 44% | 59 |
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IBM clients would be most likely to buy which combination of technologies to fulfill their talent management needs?
| Fringe (http://fringe.tap.ibm.com/) + IBMr (http://ibmr.tap.ibm.com/IBMr) | 38% | 87 |
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In 2009, the most effective way for a large enterprise like IBM to launch an effective effort to provide co-creation capabilities to the marketplace will be to
| Launch an Emerging Business Organization (EBO) | 33% | 122 |
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Top Gainers
On January 20, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrials Index will be:
Below 10,000, 67%, 42.42
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Over the next six months, the best investment for mid-market companies in the current economy will be:
None of the above, 50%, 30.2
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Over the next two years, IBM clients who purchase the following tool/service/offering will be most successful improving their collaboration.
Lotus Connections , 46%, 29.19
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In 2009, a Fortune 50 company will face a major crisis as its brand suffers and its stock price falls more than 10% because of:
Insufficient transparency and traceability, 36%, 19.43
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Over the next six months, the best investment for a large enterprise in the current economy will be:
Risk Management analysis tools , 39%, 19.1
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Top Losers
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On January 20, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrials Index will be:
Above 11,000, 8%, -17.06
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On January 20, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrials Index will be:
Between 10,500 and 11,000, 8%, -16.78
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In 2010, the winning strategy to bridge the gap between consumers' stated intent to purchase more environmentally and socially responsible products and services and their actually doing so will be:
Greater business collaboration with nongovernmental organizations (NGO) to confer trust with consumers and aid in engagement with them, 5%, -15.32
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In 2009, the most effective way for a large enterprise like IBM to launch an effective effort to provide co-creation capabilities to the marketplace will be to
Create a business unit , 5%, -15.32
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IBM clients would be most likely to buy which combination of technologies to fulfill their talent management needs?
An online portal for employee patent and publication portfolio + a skills learning tool, 11%, -14.39
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